Tag Archives: Inflation

More Black Swans?

I have arguedthat the best way to think of “black swan” events is as developments that, even though low-probability, can in fact be contemplated ahead of time.  Even if they are the sort of thing that has never happened before … Continue reading

Posted in 2012 presidential election, Budget, China, Euro, Europe, Financial Crisis, Inflation, Oil, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , , | Comments Off on More Black Swans?

Black Swans of August

Throughout history, big economic and political shocks have often occurred in August, when leaders had gone on vacationin the belief that world affairs were quiet.   Examples of geopolitical jolts that came in August include the outbreak of World War I, … Continue reading

Posted in 2012 presidential election, Budget, Climate Change, Commodities, Emerging markets, Euro, Europe, Financial Crisis, Inflation, Oil | Tagged , , , , , , , , , | Comments Off on Black Swans of August

The FOMC is Right to Stay the Course on QE2

 
            The Fed has come in for a surprising amount of criticism since its decision in the fall of 2010 to launch a new round of monetary easing — Quantitative Easing 2.  Ben Bernanke and his colleagues are right not to give in to these attacks.
            Critiques seem to be of four sorts. (Some are […] Continue reading

Posted in Dollar, Inflation, Monetary Policy, Recession | Tagged , , , | Leave a comment

Gold: A Rival for the Dollar

     Robert Zoellick put a few sentences about gold toward the end of a column in today’s FT that are drawing a lot of attention.   I doubt very much if the World Bank President has in mind a return to the gold standard, but goldbugs and critics alike are talking as if he does.
      Even if […] Continue reading

Posted in Asia, China, Commodities, Dollar, Euro, Exchange Rates, Inflation, Investing, Monetary Policy | Tagged , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

TIPS tips

Everyone asks for tips: Where can I put my money?   Stocks or bonds have done very badly over the last  year, needless to say, and one cannot be confident that they have hit bottom.  Should one just leave everything in banks and money market funds?   Surely there must be something else worth buying?
Inflation-indexed bonds (TIPS in […] Continue reading

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